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TDMMC Forums => Dolphins Discussion => Topic started by: Doc-phin on September 10, 2010, 11:51:49 am



Title: Dolphins - Bills Week 1 Discussion
Post by: Doc-phin on September 10, 2010, 11:51:49 am
I think it is good to start the weekly game discussions a little early since I have noticed that posts seem to be a little lower over the weekends.  By the same token feel free to continue this thread through and even past game time.

Score Predictions go in the other thread, this is for discussion.

I will start out by saying that I think the Bills are being significantly under-rated by the media.  I feel like they are built for speed and their only major downsides are that they aren't consistant in pass protection (with a QB that doesn't do well if he gets hit) and they are small on the D-line when going up against power run teams. 

Otherwise...  They have a great D-backfield, Evans and Parrish are speedy threats, dangerous running backs, a QB that has a decent amount of experience and bust on their head coach if you want but he was a pretty good offensive coordinator so you can expect a solid game plan.

I still think we will win, but I expect us to run the ball an awful lot and the game to be fairly low scoring overall.  Hopefully we can get ahead in the score and tee off on Edwards late.  We need to be extra prepared for screen passes and swing passes.  My guess is they will use this to slow down our rush bring up our safeties and set us up to go over top.  Clemons needs to show discipline and not look into the backfield too much.


Title: Re: Dolphins - Bills Week 1 Discussion
Post by: Pappy13 on September 10, 2010, 12:11:09 pm
Here in Dallas all the talk is about how the Dallas offense looked really pedestrian in preseason and yet all the comments from the Dallas players is to the effect that it's only preseason and there's nothing to worry about, that once the season starts everything will be fine.  The worry is that the players aren't really sensing that there really is a problem and don't have a sense of urgency to fix the problem because of the success they had last year.  So what's this got to do with Miami? 

Well I sense a similar problem in Miami, especially on the defensive side of the ball.  They really haven't been chided much in the preseason even though they haven't looked any better than the offense and when you talk to the players all you hear is wait till the season starts and we unleash Nolan's defense on the unsuspecting opponent.  Well personally I'm not buying it.  I hope I'm wrong, but I'm really worried that we are all in for a rude awakening.  I've not seen anything in preseason that convinces me this defense has improved from the end of last year where it was very near the bottom of the league and we may have taken a step back.  Do you remember the game against Houston where we were behind 27-0 in the 2nd quarter?  That can't happen.

Granted it's Buffalo and they probably won't be able to take advantage of the defense like Houston did, but the defense is still the biggest worry about this team that I have.  Henne and the offense will be good enough to win games as long as the defense isn't giving up 30 points a game.


Title: Re: Dolphins - Bills Week 1 Discussion
Post by: Doc-phin on September 10, 2010, 12:58:00 pm
Most, if not all, of us remember the Texans game!  Can't remember which Dolphin said "see you after the scrimmage", but we were embarrassed by an inferior team that day for sure.

However, there is some merit to the idea of not getting wrapped up in preseason.  History tells us that typically the opening games see a lack of offense and an explosion of offense either week 2 or three.  However, it is obvious that the level of play and complexity of scheme takes a dramatic jump once the opener arrives.  The Saints - Vikings game demonstrated offensive inconsistency with the defenses settling in after the first few series.  Favre waited too long (IMO) to get his surgery and return to practice, and that seemed to be his main source of struggle.  But you could see that both teams were opening it up pretty good in comparison to preseason play.



Title: Re: Dolphins - Bills Week 1 Discussion
Post by: masterfins on September 10, 2010, 01:22:05 pm
Well, if the Fins lose this game we are in for a long season.  Tepop will start with his bench Henne rants, oh wait he already started them. 


Title: Re: Dolphins - Bills Week 1 Discussion
Post by: Pappy13 on September 10, 2010, 01:38:58 pm
However, there is some merit to the idea of not getting wrapped up in preseason.
If it were only preseason I would agree.  In my opinion the reason the Dolphins finished 0-3 last year was the defense.  It was terrible.  What if anything has changed?


Title: Re: Dolphins - Bills Week 1 Discussion
Post by: dolfan13 on September 10, 2010, 01:49:11 pm
im with the whole preseason doesn't mean a whole lot of anything crowd, but the fact is that the question marks this team had going into this season all seem to be unanswered at this point.

secondary wasn't very good last year, didn't look good in preseason. special teams coverage wasn't good last year, didn't look good in preseason. questions about the pass rush in offseason, pass rush was non-existent in preseason. go out and get marshall in offseason to help for more explosive offense, offense looked anemic in preseason. questions about interior o-line in offseason, interior o-line in preseason looked bad.

point is that while preseason is just that, basically glorified scrimmage, the team absolutely showed no evidence to dismiss any of the questions going into this season. until they come out and put a beat down on a very bad bills team in orchard park sunday, these questions will hang like storm clouds over this team.


Title: Re: Dolphins - Bills Week 1 Discussion
Post by: Fau Teixeira on September 10, 2010, 01:52:22 pm
the defense last year did have quite a few injuries it was going through


Title: Re: Dolphins - Bills Week 1 Discussion
Post by: Doc-phin on September 10, 2010, 02:19:22 pm
If it were only preseason I would agree.  In my opinion the reason the Dolphins finished 0-3 last year was the defense.  It was terrible.  What if anything has changed?

New coordinator, Dansby in for Ayodele, More speed at FS with Clemons over Wilson, progression of Vontae, Odrick (who has looked very solid so far), younger NT in Starks, replacement of a declining player in Porter, not sure about the plus or minus of replacing Jason Taylor yet.

Seriously...  OUR DEFENSE WILL BE BETTER THIS YEAR!!!  IT WAS JUST PRESEASON!!!  So, relax.


Title: Re: Dolphins - Bills Week 1 Discussion
Post by: Pappy13 on September 10, 2010, 02:34:32 pm
the defense last year did have quite a few injuries it was going through
None of which are now healthy and starting.


Title: Re: Dolphins - Bills Week 1 Discussion
Post by: Sunstroke on September 10, 2010, 03:35:08 pm

I worry about our defense as well, and wonder if CJ Spiller will have too much speed for our LB corps to handle. I worry about Jason Allen being one of our starting CBs, and feel like Lee Evans might go all Lee Evans on us again (remember his 3-TD game down here?)

I try not to put a lot of stock in preseason "win-loss records," but I do tend to put a bit of stock in preseason "how do they actually look." Miami hasn't looked good this preseason at all.



Title: Re: Dolphins - Bills Week 1 Discussion
Post by: Pappy13 on September 10, 2010, 07:44:16 pm
New coordinator, Dansby in for Ayodele, More speed at FS with Clemons over Wilson, progression of Vontae, Odrick (who has looked very solid so far), younger NT in Starks, replacement of a declining player in Porter, not sure about the plus or minus of replacing Jason Taylor yet.
That's the sunny view.  Here's the doom and gloom view. 

A new defensive coordinator means it takes a little while for the Dolphins to figure out the defense especially with several young players.  Blitzing exposes the DB's where you have Clemons a 2nd year player, Vontae a 2nd year player and under achieving Jason Allen because 2nd year player Sean Smith is having a case of the sophomore slump.  Odrick is a rookie.  Starks is moving to a new position and is small for a NT.  Porter and Taylor while declining were former pro-bowlers and are being replaced with young and inexperienced players that no one is sure they are any good yet.  Crowder is injured so we are depending on Tim Dobbins to step up in his place.

There are question marks across the entire defense except for Dansby, Langford and Bell.  That's scary.

I'm certain it won't be as bad as the doom and gloom view, but the sunny view seems a bit optimistic to me.


Title: Re: Dolphins - Bills Week 1 Discussion
Post by: Brian Fein on September 10, 2010, 11:38:01 pm
I think Jason Allen starting is great for the Dolphins.  Jason Allen is a good player that gets crapped on because he's not a #1 pick talent.  But he's quite good, a great physical player and excellent tackler.  He may surprise some of you nay-sayers this week.


Title: Re: Dolphins - Bills Week 1 Discussion
Post by: David Fulcher on September 11, 2010, 04:06:08 am
I think Jason Allen starting is great for the Dolphins.  Jason Allen is a good player that gets crapped on because he's not a #1 pick talent.  But he's quite good, a great physical player and excellent tackler.  He may surprise some of you nay-sayers this week.

I agree, Brian...Jason is gonna do just fine.  As you say, while not a "#1 pick talent", this guy is not bad at all and given the fact that he hasn't been given much of a chance these past few seasons but has played fine to decent when he's been on the field, I'm optimistic.  Granted, while I am disappointed that Sean Smith hasn't stepped his game up and is partly *to blame* for this promotion of Jason Allen, I also think it has something to do with the fact that Allen has looked good.

As for everything else, while I have my reservations with this year's team, particularly the interior (C and both G's) progression, or lack thereof, as well as potentially Henne's and his coordination with our offseason jewel of an acquistion offensively, I think that there is way too much doom-and-gloom going on here.  I don't think we'll go much better than 9-7 or maybe 10-6, and while that might be disappointing, I don't think we're going to be terrible like more than half the people on here seem to be implying.  We shall see, though......


Title: Re: Dolphins - Bills Week 1 Discussion
Post by: dolfan13 on September 11, 2010, 10:50:00 am
jason allen has been pretty crappy as a player so far regardless of his draft status... he got roasted in preseason by roddy white, and i haven't seen the improvement.

but, articles like this one makes you wonder whether he actually is turning a corner: http://www.miamiherald.com/2010/09/10/1818681/allen-gets-his-chance-to-focus.html (http://www.miamiherald.com/2010/09/10/1818681/allen-gets-his-chance-to-focus.html)

he really did earn this opportunity to start, and has put in a significant amount of work to get better as a cornerback. with all the crap he has dealt with since getting drafted, it says something about his mental makeup that he has stuck with it, and busted his butt to get on the field.

whether that transitions into an improvement remains to be seen, but most spoiled athletes would've dogged it in camp to get the hell out of this place.


Title: Re: Dolphins - Bills Week 1 Discussion
Post by: Doc-phin on September 11, 2010, 10:52:15 am
That's the sunny view.  Here's the doom and gloom view. 

A new defensive coordinator means it takes a little while for the Dolphins to figure out the defense especially with several young players.  Blitzing exposes the DB's where you have Clemons a 2nd year player, Vontae a 2nd year player and under achieving Jason Allen because 2nd year player Sean Smith is having a case of the sophomore slump.  Odrick is a rookie.  Starks is moving to a new position and is small for a NT.  Porter and Taylor while declining were former pro-bowlers and are being replaced with young and inexperienced players that no one is sure they are any good yet.  Crowder is injured so we are depending on Tim Dobbins to step up in his place.

There are question marks across the entire defense except for Dansby, Langford and Bell.  That's scary.

I'm certain it won't be as bad as the doom and gloom view, but the sunny view seems a bit optimistic to me.

Honestly, I wasn't trying to be sunny.  I was just pointing out the differences.  Although, I can see how you thought that.  But to rebut a little...  

A new D-coordinator sometimes means a few years, but that isn't exactly as much of a rule as it used to be.  I think it applies a little more in the case of new O-coordinators.  Starks isn't as fat as many Nose Tackles, but his weight is pretty normal at the position.  He is a little more muscular than the average nose, which I view as a positive and particularly lends to the ability to play more downs.  Odrick being a rookie isn't really a concern at his position.  If he were a QB or WR, then I could understand but at his position it is all about talent and athleticism which I feel he has both.

As far as the switch out of Taylor and Porter, you and I agree.  We don't know what the switch will bring.  However, I will say that Porter was particularly crappy against the run and didn't offer much by way of pass rush last season so I feel pretty good about anybody replacing him.  But you are right, we need pass rush without sending guys from the backfield and we don't know for sure if it will happen from our front seven.


Title: Re: Dolphins - Bills Week 1 Discussion
Post by: TonyB0D on September 11, 2010, 03:37:06 pm
we are so losing this game, we never win in buffallo


Title: Re: Dolphins - Bills Week 1 Discussion
Post by: Pappy13 on September 13, 2010, 02:53:59 pm
Last week I compared the Dolphins defense to the Dallas Cowboys offense.  I said that despite having less than stellar pre-season play they were confident going into the first game because after all it was only pre-season.  So here we are, just after the Dolphins defense dominates in a win and the Cowboys offense stumbles in a loss, so there was no comparison right?  I'm not convinced.

Today in Dallas they are talking about this being a wake-up call to the offense.  No one on the offensive side of the ball in Dallas is now saying everything will be fine once the season starts because it has started.  So I shouldn't be worried anymore about Miami's D right?  They thoroughly dominated the Bills.  Unfotunately I think this was a really bad game to make any kind of judgements about the D.

The Bills offense is bad and I mean really bad.  CJ Spiller might be a great back someday, but unless he's the 2nd coming of Barry Sanders he's gonna need some help from his offensive line and he got zero yesterday.  If Trent Edwards isn't the worst QB in the league he's close to it and he didn't get a lot of help with Lee Evans being his only real threat and an offensive line that isn't much better at holding out the pass rush then it is at creating running lanes for running backs.  So before anyone starts praising the defense, not that anyone is yet, lets wait to see how they do against our next 4 opponents.  If they can hold up against the Vikings, Jets, Patriots and Packers then I'll start singing their praises.

Don't get me wrong, I'd rather be the Miami Dolphins today than the Dallas Cowboys and I was pleased with how they showed against the Bills, but it's only 1 game and only the Bills.  The next 4 games will say alot more than yesterday's game did.


Title: Re: Dolphins - Bills Week 1 Discussion
Post by: Doc-phin on September 14, 2010, 11:00:13 am
Well Pappy, you may be right.  The cool thing is that we have a pretty good barometer type game next/this week in the Vikings.

On a little more optomistic side...  It was a pretty windy day and you can see why the passing game went the way it did.  Not to mention we didn't have much to build a game plan on.  We had a lot of players step up that had question marks.  And quite frankly, I think the Bills are under-rated.  You could really see their speed, but they just couldn't handle our power up front. 


Title: Re: Dolphins - Bills Week 1 Discussion
Post by: Pappy13 on September 14, 2010, 11:12:45 am
On a little more optomistic side...  It was a pretty windy day and you can see why the passing game went the way it did.
Not enough has been made of this.  I too thought the wind may have played a part on that pass to Marshall that was underthrown.  Henne said he thought he threw it hard enough, so perhaps the wind caught it just a bit?  Might just be Henne trying to deflect the blame but he's not really one to duck the blame in my opinion.


Title: Re: Dolphins - Bills Week 1 Discussion
Post by: Pappy13 on September 21, 2010, 11:30:15 am
Honestly, I wasn't trying to be sunny.
So far I'm happy to say that sunny is winning!  I've been impressed with Jason Allen's play and actually I think putting Sean Smith as the nickel back hasn't seemed to have hurt him either.  He had a nice play on 4th down to seal the win against Minnesotta.  Vontae seems to be turning into a very nice corner.  Starks seems to be holding his own and Soliai has looked pretty good when he's in there as well.  Misi seems to be coming on strong and Wake has picked up where he left off at the end of last year.  It's hard to say on Odrick because he's been hurt.  Dansby has been outstanding, although I wasn't really worried about him in the first place.  Even Dobbins filling in for Channing seems to be doing Ok.  I can't remember a lot about Bell and Clemons play, but it's a good thing when your safeties aren't noticed.

I don't know whether you can give all the credit to Nolan, but whomever is responsible it sure is working.  All in all they have far exceeded my expectations.  Keep it up guys!