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TDMMC Forums => Dolphins Discussion => Topic started by: Dave Gray on September 21, 2010, 01:41:56 am



Title: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Dave Gray on September 21, 2010, 01:41:56 am
I think that "must win" game is very overused.

And to have a must win game when you lead your division sounds pretty crazy.  However, look at our schedule.  It's tough, especially up front.  And I think that our division is tough.

I wasn't too high on the Jets, like everyone else, but they lost a squeaker to a good team in the Ravens, and then they beat the Pats with a strong offensive showing.  I feel very different about them today than I did a week ago.

If we're going to make a playoff run, I think that this is a game that you circle on the calendar as one you need to win.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Brian Fein on September 21, 2010, 01:47:28 am
Its so early to have any game be "must win" but this is MUST WIN.

The Jets appear to be banged up, you have to take advantage of it and come out of your home opener with a W.  The place is going to be electric, and they don't get any more hated than the Jets.

Winning this game could contribute to a tiebreaker later on down the road. 

So, yes, this is MUST WIN.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: mecadonzilla on September 21, 2010, 02:19:43 am
I don't think there are many MUST WINs for week 3 when you're 2-0.
Dallas has a must win against Houston.  Minnesota has a must win against Detroit.


It would be a NICE WIN for the Phins, but certainly not a MUST.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: MikeO on September 21, 2010, 03:23:02 am
This is a MUST WIN!!

Division games are all MUST WIN


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: TonyB0D on September 21, 2010, 03:56:44 am
in today's NFL, every game has become a "MUST WIN".  But yes, this game is even more than a "must win" because of all caveats that go along with it:

It's for undisputed first place in the division.
It's against our most hated and bitter rivals.
It is the home opener.
3-0 is massively different than 2-1 (especially this year: 2-0 against the division, and in context with the rest of the standings)
See first sentence of the post, which related to things such as tiebreakers down the road.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: MyGodWearsAHoodie on September 21, 2010, 06:39:03 am
?

No team has ever made the playoffs if they drop 2-1 after the third game.  ???

Bills are the only AFCE facing a must win situation to save their season. 


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Defense54 on September 21, 2010, 07:08:57 am
Anytime we play the Jets its a must win in my book. This is going to be a war. No friendly taps on the helmets after a good play. I just want Rex to open his mouth some. He gives opposing Teams excellent motivation.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: MikeO on September 21, 2010, 07:20:02 am
Anytime we play the Jets its a must win in my book. This is going to be a war. No friendly taps on the helmets after a good play. I just want Rex to open his mouth some. He gives opposing Teams excellent motivation.

Pregame when the teams walk out and hold up one finger for that Union thing, this week I hope the Fins decide to use another finger!


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Phishfan on September 21, 2010, 08:56:24 am
Come on guys. I thought this was a Dolphins board. EVERY GAME AGAINST THE JETS IS MUST WIN!


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Pappy13 on September 21, 2010, 10:00:50 am
It's a must win alright, but not for the Fins, for the Jets.

Going up 3-0 with wins against 2 playoff teams last year, handing the Jets their second loss in 3 weeks, taking a 2 and half game lead on them and shutting up Rex Ryan would be HUGE.

I'll settle for a well played game.  Even if we lose in a close game, I'll by fine with that.  That's what winning in Minnesotta buys you.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: dolfan13 on September 21, 2010, 11:58:03 am
home division games you have to win if you want to think about playoffs...

getting into the tournament without winning your division is a tough deal. a lot of good teams this year in the afc.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Landshark on September 21, 2010, 12:49:32 pm
Its so early to have any game be "must win" but this is MUST WIN.

The Jets appear to be banged up, you have to take advantage of it and come out of your home opener with a W.  The place is going to be electric, and they don't get any more hated than the Jets.

Winning this game could contribute to a tiebreaker later on down the road. 

So, yes, this is MUST WIN.

I agree with this because the Jets are banged up.  Gotta exploit that.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: StL FinFan on September 21, 2010, 01:00:15 pm
It is a must win for no other reason than to make the stinking lousy Jets and their fans stfu.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: MaineDolFan on September 21, 2010, 01:20:32 pm
Miami wins and goes 3-0, 2-0 in the division.

Miami loses and goes 2-1 and puts the Jets at 2-1.  The Jets go to 2-0 in the div while Miami falls to 1-1.

With the very real chance the the wild cards will both come down to tie breakers this year, division records are vital.

This game is as important as they come.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Tepop84 on September 21, 2010, 01:27:52 pm
It would be a good win for the team, but far from a must win.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Doc-phin on September 21, 2010, 02:15:13 pm
This is definately not a must win.  I don't even think this is close enough to discuss.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: masterfins on September 21, 2010, 03:38:50 pm
This is NOT a must win, and it's stupid to even start that type of discussion at this point in the season.  IMO to be a must win game it has to have a high signicance in whether you will be eligible for the playoffs, and since the Fins are 2-0, it is not a must win game.  That said, winning one out of the next two games would greatly increase the Fins' chances of making the playoffs, but neither are MUST WIN games.  However, punching the Jets in the Face and kicking their loud mouth a$$es would make me extremely happy.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Kid Dynamite on September 21, 2010, 03:39:33 pm
Biggest rival, division game, and  home opener make this a MUST win.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Dave Gray on September 21, 2010, 03:42:19 pm
I think that it's not a must win, only because we play the Jets again.  I think it's a must that we split with the Jets, at least.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: tubba marxxx on September 21, 2010, 04:12:43 pm
It's a divsion game...therefore it is a must win...end of story





Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Brian Fein on September 21, 2010, 04:12:54 pm
Its a must win because I'm going to the game, and the WORST feeling in the world is getting trash-talked by opposing fans in your own stadium.  ESPECIALLY JETS FANS.

F the Jets.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Phishfan on September 21, 2010, 04:19:55 pm
This is NOT a must win, and it's stupid to even start that type of discussion at this point in the season.  IMO to be a must win game it has to have a high signicance in whether you will be eligible for the playoffs,

In order to make the playoffs you need to win the division or earn the wildcard. Why wouldn't divisional games therefore be highly significant to being eligible?


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Spider-Dan on September 21, 2010, 04:48:58 pm
Every game is a MUST WIN!


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Dave Gray on September 21, 2010, 04:50:50 pm
It's a divsion game...therefore it is a must win...end of story

We have 6 division games this year.  They can't all be must wins.

If our assumptions are true about who's good and who's not hold true, this Jets game is one that you need to steal, as I think you have to split the Jets and Pats and sweep the Bills.  This is an opportunity that we need to capitalize on, but realistically speaking, I don't think it's a must win.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Stinger24 on September 21, 2010, 04:53:57 pm
I do not think this game is a must win but it would be very disappointing to not take advatage of the players they have out.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: dolfan13 on September 21, 2010, 05:29:08 pm
We have 6 division games this year.  They can't all be must wins.

i'd say home division games are must win. given that you have to at least split your division games, the ones at home become the most important to get in the w column.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: MikeO on September 21, 2010, 05:36:35 pm
With all of the guys the Jets have out, if we lost this game it would be a huge emotional downer for the Fins. And a huge emotional boost for the Jets


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: mecadonzilla on September 21, 2010, 06:22:28 pm
So if the Dolphins lose, are they eliminated from playoff considerations?
THAT is the definition of a "Must Win."

This is not that sort of game.  It's important, but certainly not a "Must."

I think a lot of people don't know what "must win" means.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: MikeO on September 21, 2010, 06:50:39 pm
It's MUST WIN if you have eyes at the Super Bowl, winning the division, getting a 1st round bye.

If the goal is to go 9-7, 10-6....sneak in the playoffs as a wild card and be 1-n-done, then this isn't must win. If the goal is to make some noise in January and be in a nice position to win playoff games and go far, then you can't lose to a division team at home with half of its stars out....thats why its MUST WIN


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: dolfan13 on September 21, 2010, 08:14:04 pm
technically teams that are 3-7 heading into the final 6 games of the season are still mathematically not eliminated from the playoffs.

a must win game can't be broken down to only include the very last few games of the season where teams still have some sort of faint heartbeat of being in the mix for the playoffs.

to control your fate into the playoffs you have to win your division. division games at home are must win.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: MyGodWearsAHoodie on September 21, 2010, 08:25:37 pm
technically teams that are 3-7 heading into the final 6 games of the season are still mathematically not eliminated from the playoffs.

a must win game can't be broken down to only include the very last few games of the season where teams still have some sort of faint heartbeat of being in the mix for the playoffs.

to control your fate into the playoffs you have to win your division. division games at home are must win.

Actually the theoretically worse record you can have and still make the playoffs is 3-13. 


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: mecadonzilla on September 21, 2010, 08:28:07 pm
I can't believe we're arguing this.  This is pretty simple, and I'm stunned by people's reactions.  It reminds me of the great Inigo Montoya line from the Princess Bride, "You keep using that word.  I do not think it means what you think it means."

A "must win" implies that failure is not an option.  Hence, it is a MUST.  A loss is certainly not optimal, but not a season destroyer...especially since there will be another game against this team in December.  That game will be more of a "must win" in all likelihood.  The Fins could lose this and continue on and win the rest of their games.  Would this game still have been a MUST then?  The notion is ridiculous.  There aren't many teams facing anything close to a MUST WIN situation in week 3 and none of them are 2-0.  

It would be an important win for sure, perhaps even vital, but not a must.  Maybe we're arguing semantics here, but by any stretch of the imagination this is not a MUST anything in week 3 for the Dolphins.



Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: dolfan13 on September 21, 2010, 09:19:54 pm
hey i get it... must win can only be the very last or second to last game of the season or in the playoffs. no matter how early you play them, where you play them, what kind of injuries they have, what your record is, can't possibly be a must win because you are still mathematically not eliminated from the playoffs.



Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: MyGodWearsAHoodie on September 21, 2010, 10:02:18 pm
hey i get it... must win can only be the very last or second to last game of the season or in the playoffs. no matter how early you play them, where you play them, what kind of injuries they have, what your record is, can't possibly be a must win because you are still mathematically not eliminated from the playoffs.



I can go back further than the very last game or second to last game.  I would say in 2008 the last 4 or 5 games for the Dolphins were all must win.  But there is no such thing as a must win week 3 game, particularly if you are 2-0.     


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: MikeO on September 21, 2010, 10:08:50 pm
I can go back further than the very last game or second to last game.  I would say in 2008 the last 4 or 5 games for the Dolphins were all must win.  But there is no such thing as a must win week 3 game, particularly if you are 2-0.     

Tell that to the 2008 Pats who won 11 games and didn't make the playoffs. Their Week 3 loss at home to Miami is what cost them the tiebreaker and cost them the division and a home playoff game.

ALL DIVISION GAMES ARE MUST WIN!!!! Especially the ones at HOME!


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: mecadonzilla on September 21, 2010, 11:03:34 pm
So one of the other 4 losses had nothing to do with it?


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Spider-Dan on September 22, 2010, 02:15:01 am
Great point, mecadonzilla.

If you want to use '08 NE as an example, any of the games that they lost could be considered a must-win, not just the division games.  (And for the record, NE finished with the same division record as MIA did; the tiebreaker they lost was conference record.)


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: MyGodWearsAHoodie on September 22, 2010, 09:12:02 am
Tell that to the 2008 Pats who won 11 games and didn't make the playoffs. Their Week 3 loss at home to Miami is what cost them the tiebreaker and cost them the division and a home playoff game.

ALL DIVISION GAMES ARE MUST WIN!!!! Especially the ones at HOME!

Nope.  That game didn't cost them the division.  Had they won anyone of the other 4 games instead, they would have won the division. 

The "must win" that they lost was in fact week 13 against Pittsburgh. 

It is in fact way too early in the season to be talking about must wins. 


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: yuppi on September 22, 2010, 09:45:40 am
every game is a must win. take it a game at a time.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: MyGodWearsAHoodie on September 22, 2010, 10:12:16 am
every game is a must win. take it a game at a time.

Then you don't understand the concept of must win.  A "must win" game is one that if you lose, you can forget about the playoffs, the season is effectively over. 


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: yuppi on September 22, 2010, 10:15:29 am
if you take it a game at a time you never get to that point.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Phishfan on September 22, 2010, 10:35:10 am
I think there are varying definitions of "Must Win". Playoff contention isn't the only factor that makes a game "Must Win" guys. Get over your personal definition and expand your view a bit. A team can have a "Must Win" game at any point of the season depending on individual situations. If you really want to nit pick, no game is a "Must Win" because the world will continue on regardless of who wins or loses.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Brian Fein on September 22, 2010, 10:37:06 am
Then you don't understand the concept of must win.  A "must win" game is one that if you lose, you can forget about the playoffs, the season is effectively over. 
Your definition.

To me, a must win is a game that I don't get taunted after a heartbreaking loss, and can smack talk my Jets-fan friends.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: MikeO on September 22, 2010, 05:12:24 pm
Its about WINNING THE SUPER BOWL. Not making the playoffs.

And if you want to win the super bowl the best odds are to win your division and home field advantage. To get to that step, you can't lose home division games against teams with half their key guys OUT. Hence this is MUST WIN.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Pappy13 on September 22, 2010, 05:21:02 pm
Well personally I think most of you are confusing "must win" with "need to win".  Yes the Dolphins need to win the game to makes things easier on themselves, but if they don't there's no reason why they can't still achieve everything they set out to achieve unless they set out to be undefeated this year and I don't really think anyone had that as a goal for this year.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: mecadonzilla on September 22, 2010, 06:41:03 pm
MUST WIN means literally, you MUST WIN or your season is devastated.  There is no other definition.  Period. 
If it didn't mean this, another term would be used instead. 

I guarantee Sporano and the rest of the coaching staff isn't calling this game a MUST anything.  You can't blow your load on absolute terms by week 3 or your team will A) pack it in if they lost because you told them the game was a MUST and they just blew it or B) your team will be psychologically worn out because you've been labeling games as MUSTS all season long.

Fans have a bad habit of labeling games as MUSTS that really aren't.  I promise neither the Dolphins nor the Jets see the first of their match ups this way.  Absolute terms should be saved for when they are necessary, otherwise they lose their meaning.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Dave Gray on September 23, 2010, 01:53:28 am
I don't stand by the literal definition of must win.

In a 7 game series, if you're down 0-2, is game 3 not a must win?  Of course, it's still possible to win the series, but in my book, that's a quintessential must win.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: BigDaddyFin on September 23, 2010, 02:58:49 am
Every game in the NFL is a must win game unless it's week 17 and you have home field wrapped up a couple weeks early. 

You want to beat the Jets and Patriots at home.  The last game of the year is in NE.  We're at the Jets late too.  Two good football teams on the road, late in the year and anything can happen. 

They're division opponents.  You want to beat them up because of the tiebreaker you may need later. 


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Dave Gray on September 23, 2010, 03:27:57 am
Here's my thinking (and I might be wrong, of course):

I don't think we're as good as we think we are.

We were supposed to beat the Bills, but the game was closer than it should've been.
We were supposed to lose to the Vikings, but that win (as great as it was) may be more telling about the Vikings, than about us.

I also think that I was surprised by the Jets in week 2, and it looks like they're going to be contenders in the AFC East.  Because of their recent misfortune, I think that if you're planning on winning your division, that this game is one that you need to win.  If we can't win at home, when they're short-handed, then we can't expect to take them on full-strength on the road.

I don't think that makes it a must win, because there is room to catch-up later.  ...but we need to win this game if we're going to be the kind of team that's going to make a playoff run.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Pappy13 on September 23, 2010, 10:24:26 am
I don't stand by the literal definition of must win.

In a 7 game series, if you're down 0-2, is game 3 not a must win?  Of course, it's still possible to win the series, but in my book, that's a quintessential must win.
Yes it IS a must win, but that's because the odds of coming back from 0-3 in a 7 game series are astronomical.

You don't even have to "come back" from a 2-1 record.  You can't compare the 2.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Pappy13 on September 23, 2010, 10:25:59 am
I don't think that makes it a must win, because there is room to catch-up later.  ...but we need to win this game if we're going to be the kind of team that's going to make a playoff run.
Exactly.  It's a "need to win" game, but it's not a "must win" game.


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: masterfins on September 23, 2010, 12:53:04 pm
I can't believe we're arguing this.  This is pretty simple, and I'm stunned by people's reactions.  It reminds me of the great Inigo Montoya line from the Princess Bride, "You keep using that word.  I do not think it means what you think it means."

A "must win" implies that failure is not an option.  Hence, it is a MUST.  A loss is certainly not optimal, but not a season destroyer...especially since there will be another game against this team in December.  That game will be more of a "must win" in all likelihood.  The Fins could lose this and continue on and win the rest of their games.  Would this game still have been a MUST then?  The notion is ridiculous.  There aren't many teams facing anything close to a MUST WIN situation in week 3 and none of them are 2-0.  

It would be an important win for sure, perhaps even vital, but not a must.  Maybe we're arguing semantics here, but by any stretch of the imagination this is not a MUST anything in week 3 for the Dolphins.



Amen


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: masterfins on September 23, 2010, 12:55:43 pm
every game is a must win. take it a game at a time.

If this is the case then why even ask, or respond, to the question????


Title: Re: Is the Jets a must win game?
Post by: Pappy13 on September 23, 2010, 01:01:36 pm
Tell that to the 2008 Pats who won 11 games and didn't make the playoffs. Their Week 3 loss at home to Miami is what cost them the tiebreaker and cost them the division and a home playoff game.
So the other 4 games they lost that year didn't matter?  If they would have won all of them, then they still wouldn't have made the playoffs?  I doubt that.