I think I'd have to consider a team taking Tua for a 1st round draft choice, if they are going to pick up his entire contract. That would remove $99M off the books for the cost of a 1st round draft choice.
No, it would not; MIA is still on the hook for the prorated signing bonus. The new team would only take on his (guaranteed) annual salary for the remaining years.Quote
It would suck to lose that 1st round draft choice, but the rebuild gets a lot easier without Tua's contract. 1st round draft choices are hit and miss, that $99M is a sure thing. It would essentially mean that 2026 wouldn't necessarily be a wasted year, the rebuild would start in 2026, rather than really starting in 2027.
First off, you have to start with the assumption that the GM will make impactful selections with first-round picks, because if that doesn't happen, none of the rest of this stuff matters; you cannot be successful if you are whiffing on first-round picks.Second, first-round picks are able to contribute at a discounted rate for up to 5 years, making them much more valuable than one down year in 2026. That first-round pick can be a foundational player that contributes for years to come... especially if the team is bad in 2026 and it's an early pick.
And third, the entire idea of "cap hell" being an insurmountable barrier to competitive play is overblown. We saw this in DEN, where the Broncos cut Russell Wilson after 2023 and ate his huge contract, yet still made the playoffs in 2024, then clinched the #1 seed in 2025 with Russell Wilson as the team's highest paid player.





