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 31 
 on: May 07, 2025, 08:58:53 pm 
Started by Dave Gray - Last post by Fau Teixeira
it's a bubble. it's the same reason gamestop stock went way up when they should have gone bankrupt

 32 
 on: May 07, 2025, 08:52:16 pm 
Started by Downunder Dolphan - Last post by Downunder Dolphan
How did the Elections go? Did your candidates win?

The election result was similar to what happened in Canada, there was also a significant swing here to the existing Labor Government away from the Liberal/Coalition challengers (to the extent that the opposition leader also lost his own seat and is now effectively kicked out of politics altogether), while the vote for the independents remained relatively the same, and the left leaning Greens also lost votes and seats to Labor.

Effectively in a time of uncertainty, people looked for a Government with more central policies to represent everyone, and as a result the parties that were seen to have drifted too far to the right (Liberal/Coalition who used to be far more central at their core) and to the left (Greens) paid the price for it. The real extreme right parties (One Nation) were pretty much unaffected, as their small voter base is rusted on and now consistent.

While I am not a professional detective, I did stay in a Holiday Inn last night and I guessing that the anti-Trump candidate won, and that Downunder Dolphan supported the anti-Trump candidate.  

My first preference votes for the lower house and the Senate were for an Independent candidate, as I thought they would represent my local community interest a lot better than the incumbent Liberal candidate who had done nothing for the last three years apart from sending me a fridge magnet calendar and newsletter annually. He was voted out of his previously safe seat after a huge swing against him, but it was a Labor candidate who replaced him instead of the Independent that I had as my first preference.

Our voting slips have a preferential system where you number all the candidates in the lower house, and at least 6 parties or 12 candidates for the Senate. While your first preference (and associated money allocated to a political party per ballot) goes to who you put as #1 on you slip, if they are eliminated from the first round of counting when they get to the top two parties contending for the job, your second preference comes into play, etc. So effectively if your first preference doesn't count for the result, they go to the next one, etc, until it gets to one of the final two candidates in contention. The net effect is that for the vast majority of people who vote, it will be a part of determining the outcome of their representative, and ultimately the Government and the Senate.

As far as my own voting goes, I'm pretty much a central/swinging voter. I have voted for Labor, Liberal and Independents in the past - it really depends on how well I think they represent my values and community, and what policy and vision they have for the country. For the last two elections, after the Independents, I did have Labor ahead of the Liberal/Coalition in my preferences due to the latter's drift away from the center, lack of any real, costed policies to actually move the country forward, and Leadership that can only be described as nasty and incompetent.

In this case... yeah, Hoodie is close enough to the mark as I voted for a non Trump-like alternative. As did the majority of the nation.

Ps. Another major change in this Australian election is that the voter base has changed - for the first time there were more Gen Z and Millennials voting than the Baby Boomer Generation. Over the years the primary votes have slipped from about 80% going to the two major parties down to 60%, with the balance directed to Independents and minor parties. This trend looks to continue while the major parties are struggling to connect with new voters, but in particular the Liberal primary vote seems to be drifting the worst as they continue to pander more to the Boomers.

 33 
 on: May 07, 2025, 08:44:06 pm 
Started by Dave Gray - Last post by Dave Gray
So, Tesla earnings came today and were worse than expected, with huge drops all over Europe, including some crazy numbers like being down 81% in Sweden, which EV sales in general are increasing.  The brand is totally toxic.  Fine.  Whatever.

Their stock went up today.  What the fuck is going on?

 34 
 on: May 07, 2025, 05:28:33 pm 
Started by Dave Gray - Last post by Spider-Dan
Over the last six months, I have bought several items that I otherwise would have waited on; electronics, clothes, etc.

I briefly considered that this was the actual intent of the Trump tariff chaos, the idiot's version of a genius strategy: tell everyone that Prices Are Going Way Higher Very Soon So You'd Better Buy Now, and just keep pushing that date out.  But any economic gains that might result from impulse sales are more than offset by the tanking stocks and supply chain disruptions (due to companies being scared of uncertain market conditions).

But even "dumb man's idea of a smart man's plan" is giving Trump far too much credit; he doesn't think that far ahead.  He just likes forcing people to come personally beg him for tariff exceptions, like he's a mob boss.  That's it.

 35 
 on: May 07, 2025, 05:07:42 pm 
Started by Dave Gray - Last post by Dave Gray
I bought a 2nd bidet -- kind of just because I wanted one, but also because I expect some supply issues coming up and I don't want to play the toilet paper game again.

I have seen recommendations of stocking up on low cost imports that you might find, thinking about tariffs upcoming.  I haven't done that, nor do I plan to, but I thought it was interesting.  On another forum, I saw people who were buying things with the intent of resale, like baby cribs and stuff like that.

 36 
 on: May 07, 2025, 02:12:58 pm 
Started by CF DolFan - Last post by masterfins
I'm not sure how anyone would see the difference in reactions from Sanders being drafted and Ewers being drafted and think Ewers is the one excited and motivated to come to the NFL and work.  Ewers has the demeanor of someone whose dog was just put down.

Obviously different people respond to news differently, but if we're judging on limited intel, I would see no reason to consider Ewers "more coachable."

I had the same reaction watching him get drafted, I immediately regretted Miami drafting him.  If he had just looked a little excited, or at least relieved, then I would have been ecstatic with his pick.  Understandably he was the 14th and last QB drafted (#231), and LV had drafted two QB's at #213 and #215; but someone in his family should have taken him aside and told him how to act.  Sanders, for all his embarrassment in falling, acted like he was chosen first in the draft, I respected that.

I think a season on the bench will give him time to mature, and possibly make him an NFL QB.

 37 
 on: May 07, 2025, 02:04:19 pm 
Started by CF DolFan - Last post by MyGodWearsAHoodie
I think the Browns and Dolphins both made good use of late round picks.  Both players have the potential to become starters and contribute significant to their franchise, both players are on a trajectory to be irrelevant and out of the league in two years. Round 5-7 is the time to select these types of players.  Concern that either could be a bust is unwarranted, particularly with Ewers.  There is NO SUCH THING AS A SEVENTH ROUND BUST.  They aren't expected to do much of anything. 

 38 
 on: May 07, 2025, 01:49:46 pm 
Started by dolphins4life - Last post by MyGodWearsAHoodie
It's kinda funny. 

Literally Trump's greatest accomplishment was Operation Warp Speed.  While I still believe he put too many eggs in one basket in focusing so much into OWS while ignoring all other aspects of the pandemic, OWS was a huge success that greatly exceed almost everyone's expectations. 

Yet it is Trump's biggest supporters who are constantly undermining OWS. 

 39 
 on: May 07, 2025, 11:09:08 am 
Started by dolphins4life - Last post by Pappy13
BTW ... if you get off Google and go to a search engine not run by MSM you will see some different results.
I wasn't on Google and Copilot isn't a search engine, it's an LLM Chat AI. I tried ChatGPT and got essentially the same results. Which LLM do you recommend?

 40 
 on: May 07, 2025, 08:56:03 am 
Started by Downunder Dolphan - Last post by Dave Gray
That's basically the case for the majority of teams.

Agreed.  I think we're a mid-tier team.  We can make the playoffs and win a game with competence, coaching, etc.

But I feel like we need a shake up to get to the next level...we need a superstar we didn't expect or something like that.

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