How can you say this? How many kickoffs are fielded inside the 5 yard line? Yep - all of those are touchbacks now.
No they aren't, I see people run it out of the endzone all the time. What will be changing are the ones that are about 5 yards deep in the endzone now. They'll have to think twice before coming out 10 yards deep in the endzone.
How often do you see kickers (any kicker across the league) drop a kickoff at the 10 yard line? If he does, you think its a terrible kick. Any kicker in the league should be able to consistently put the ball in the end zone, off a tee, from the 35 yard line. The Janikowski's of the league now can probably put it out of the back of the end zone.
Nah. The best in the league last year was Billy Cundiff (of kickers who had at least 20 attempts) who had a record 40 kickoffs taken as touchbacks, but that was out of 79 kick-offs, so about 50% of the time. He's probably gonna be more like 75% of the time if he has another year like he had which is questionable, but the majority of the kickers aren't like that. The majority struggle to reach the goal line now, a few will be kicking off deep into the endzone. Janikowski by the way (who was 4th in the league as far as % of TB's) had 30% of his kickoffs go for touchbacks, less than a third. 2nd best was actually Stephen Gostkowski with over 35% of his kickoffs going for TB's, but he only kicked off 42 times and only had 15 TB's.
Not sure how you both don't see an impact on the game here. Its going to be 75% or more of offensive drives starting on the 20 yard line now.
I don't think you realize just how few touchbacks there are now. It's around 17%. Some are saying it's going to double to over 30%. Maybe. I kinda doubt it. Probably around 25% or so, no where close to 75%.
And just for the record I didn't say there wouldn't be an impact, just that it won't be that big.