Predictions: Bills at Dolphins 2016

[Dave Gray]

What say you?

I think we lose by a TD.

Bills 31
Dolphins 24

[Dolfanalyst]

I like the Dolphins as a home dog, with Buffalo coming off four straight wins and playing on the road.  It's basically the Steelers game all over again, in terms of the emotional dynamics involved.

[Tenshot13]

31-10 Dolphins...we get on a roll!

[MyGodWearsAHoodie]

Fins.  Rex can pump his team up for a big game, but he will be looking past the game and be focused on sweeping BB for the first time.

[Thundergod]

Buffalo 23
Miami  27

[fyo]

On paper the Bills look pretty good and they are 3 point favorites, but I think they're a bit of a mirage. They've run over some fairly hapless teams and done it all through LeSean McCoy, primarily straight up the gut, which just happens to be the toughest direction to run at the Dolphins. If the Dolphins can prevent McCoy from breaking through to the second level and can limit him in the passing game, I don't see the Bills as capable of producing much offense. Not sure how much the loss of Reshad Jones will hurt, though.

The biggest problem for the Dolphins is going to be keeping Tannehill upright. The Bills average nearly 1 sack every 10 drop backs, first in the league. And they've done this against teams that have protected their quarterbacks very well overall.

So, yeah, this is going to be a real test of the offensive line and if I'm trying to be objective, Miami is going to suffer. This is a bad matchup for our offensive line and the timing in terms of getting something going after a great win over the Steelers couldn't be worse.

BUF: 27
MIA: 17

(I'm assuming the usual 30 passes and 20 runs... if they flip the script, I think it'll be *much* closer since I really think the phins stand a good chance of limiting the Bills' offense, so not giving up great field position is going to be vital.)

[Cathal]

I'd like to say that the changes the Fins have done over the past couple of weeks and that big win against Pitt will reinvigorate the team. But, the Bills are too good right now. Unless they injure the QB, they always have a tough time handling a mobile QB and the type of back that McCoy is.

I think this is going to be a tight game early but the Bills will eventually start to pull away and I'll have the game off by half time.

Buffalo: 35
Miami: 13

[Dolfanalyst]

I'd like to say that the changes the Fins have done over the past couple of weeks and that big win against Pitt will reinvigorate the team. But, the Bills are too good right now. Unless they injure the QB, they always have a tough time handling a mobile QB and the type of back that McCoy is.

I think this is going to be a tight game early but the Bills will eventually start to pull away and I'll have the game off by half time.

Buffalo: 35
Miami: 13

Interestingly that's the same script you could've invoked for the Steelers, replacing McCoy with Bell and Taylor with Roethlisberger, who is also a QB who extends plays with movement and throws well deep downfield.

I'm of the mind that lots of NFL games play out as a function of what's gone on recently for the teams involved, and what's going to happen for them in the near future.  The notion of "trap game" is a good example.

When there's so much physical parity in the league, lots of these games hinge on emotional dynamics, and I see the Dolphins this week as being invigorated by the home dog status once again, after showing impressively against Pittsburgh, while Buffalo comes in relatively complacent, having won four in a row, playing on the road, and facing a supposedly inferior opponent.

[Baba Booey]

McCoy hurt hamstring in practice today. Getting MRI. May not play Sunday vs Miami  (tweak your predictions boys)

[Tenshot13]

McCoy hurt hamstring in practice today. Getting MRI. May not play Sunday vs Miami  (tweak your predictions boys)

31-10 Dolphins...we get on a roll!

93-2 MIA....lucky safety for the Bills

[Dolfanalyst]

McCoy hurt hamstring in practice today. Getting MRI. May not play Sunday vs Miami  (tweak your predictions boys)

I actually think that hurts the Dolphins, because it gives the Bills a rallying cry and a reason not to feel like as much of a favorite.

[DaLittle B]

Ehhh...I want to predict a win here....but no...
Lose late on a bad penalty...

Bills 27
Dolphins 24

[hordman]

Got to come in with the same mindset and gameplan vs PIT. Have to physical upfront, keep Tannehill clean and run the damn ball.  Nothing demoralizes a team more than running it late in the game and unable to stop it.

Not saying Ajayi gonna have a repeat performance, but he's got to run just as hard as he has been the last 2 weeks and touch 20+ times

I believe Bills are 5-1 SU last 6 games in MIA

Going against the trend
MIA 27
BUF 20

[Fau Teixeira]

dolphins 56 bills 0

[masterfins]

Tough game to predict.  Miami's Offense looks good, with a lack of injuries going into the game; however on defense (especially the secondary) they are a bit thin do to injuries.  I'll go with the 3 point home advantage:

Miami 27

Buffalo 24