Oh, I appreciate situational dynamics. When these two teams met earlier in the season Miami was 1-4, and struggled to beat the Browns. Are you saying your advice THEN would NOT have been to bet the farm?
Ironically you have the mentality that all addicted gamblers have, "I can't lose".
I actually hardly ever gamble because Vegas's lines are so good, and it's rare that I find a "can't-lose" angle like this one here in Pittsburgh. The game against Pittsburgh earlier this year I had no distinct impression about either way, and those are the games I stay away from.