Typically 9-7 gives you at least a decent shot at the playoffs, which means that you'll probably need 10 now for a decent shot which is what I was focused on. Yeah, probably gonna need 11 or more now to guarantee a spot, but that's not what I was focusing on, just to clear up any confusion on what I was suggesting.
This is from 8 years ago, but I doubt things have changed much.
Wins TM P/O %
16 1 1 100%
15 3 3 100%
14 13 13 100%
13 35 35 100%
12 44 44 100%
11 58 59 98%
10 70 78 90%
9 42 82 51%
8 9 85 11%
7 1 76 1%