Where are these 5-6 wins coming from?
There are no guarentees in football but I will throw out some ideas on what I realistically see happening.
1st - week one win against Jets (I really think we will at least split wins with the Jets this year)
2nd - Beat the Cardnals
3rd - Beat Baltimore
4th - Beat the Bills (At least split against the bills)
5th - Win against either the Broncos or SeaHawks
6th - Beat the Raiders
7th - In case we lose any of those we can pick up the slack with possible wins against the Rams, 49ers, or Kansas City.
So I do think there is reason to be hopefull for a .500 season.