2006 Record prediction

[JVides]

12-4...I'm ever the optimist.   

[Frimp]

^^^^

Great, but I've got them at 13-3. 

[fyo]

9-7

[DolFan619]

     11-5, AFC East Champions.

[AZ Fins Fan 55]

I think I am going to go with 11-5 also!!!!!

[Brian Fein]

Looking at New Enlgand's schedule, I have them at 10-6, and buffalo and the jets are shaping up to be both sub-500 teams.

I think we get the #4 seed in the playoffs this season.

[fyo]

I really don't understand the 10+ wins hype being generated here. A couple of key injuries on defense and it's a losing season.

[Frimp]

The glass is half FULL!!!!

I aim for the stars!

[Brian Fein]

I really don't understand the 10+ wins hype being generated here. A couple of key injuries on defense and it's a losing season.

All these predictions are "on paper" as they say.  Of course you can't predict an injury, or how a team will bounce back from one.  thus, all things being the same, te optimism comes from an assumption of a healthy squad year round.

[jtex316]

I think another 9-7 record is a safe bet.  A 10-6 record for this year's Dolphins would be a great job, and anything above that would be fantastic for this group.

The Dolphins are 1 year removed from being one of the top 3 AFC teams.  So this year, 9-7.

[Brian Fein]

I think another 9-7 record is a safe bet.  A 10-6 record for this year's Dolphins would be a great job, and anything above that would be fantastic for this group.

The Dolphins are 1 year removed from being one of the top 3 AFC teams.  So this year, 9-7.

I think I just saw a pig fly by my window...

[Dave Gray]

All these predictions are "on paper" as they say. Of course you can't predict an injury, or how a team will bounce back from one. thus, all things being the same, te optimism comes from an assumption of a healthy squad year round.

No, you can't accurately predict one injury, but you can look at depth, and make an assumption that those players will be called upon.  Which players and how long, etc, is just speculation.  I do think you have to look at the bench when preparing a record, though.  Teams don't start a year and end it with the same guys.  ...and I really don't see many 2nd stringers (especially on the secondary) stepping up to fill the shoes in case of injury.

[Dave Gray]

Here's how I see it:

Sep 7   @Pittsburgh         .3
Sep 17   Buffalo                .7           
Sep 24   Tennessee          .7           
Oct 1   @Houston            .5           
Oct 8   @New England     .3           
Oct 15   @N.Y. Jets           .7   
Oct 22   Green Bay            .7         
Week 8   BYE                     0
Nov 5   @Chicago              .5           
Nov 12   Kansas City         .5           
Nov 19   Minnesota           .7           
Nov 23   @Detroit               .7           
Dec 3   Jacksonville            .7           
Dec 10   New England        .5     
Dec 17   @Buffalo               .5             
Dec 25   N.Y. Jets                .9
Dec 31   @Indianapolis       .3

Overall, it looks to be a 9-7 season.

Tommy, here's where we disagree:

1st, at Pittsburgh.  You can't think that we're even.  They won the Super Bowl and are a much more complete team than we are.  ...plus, it's in Pittsburgh.  Give us 50/50 odds on that is very generous.

Next, the KC game.  We don't match up well with KC at all.  Our cover two defense gets rocked by Tony Gonzalez, because our linebackers can't cover him off the line, and their running game (and especially flat passes and RB dumpoffs across the middle) aren't good for us.  We always get soundly beaten by KC, even when they appear to be a team on par with us, overall.  They are strong, where we are weak, however, and this year looks no different.  The only saving grace is that the game is at home.

The last thing is that I revamped my system a little bit this year, because I was giving too much strength to home field advantage (although it canceled out) and the grading scale didn't have enough units.  I see that you have 5 games as surefire wins, but no games with 0 possibility to cancel them out.  It's safe to say that a team worse than us will get the better of us sometime during the year.  It always happens that way.

[Thundergod]

I think I just saw a pig fly by my window...

The cows finally came home, over here at this end of town...

[Jim Gray]

I think another 9-7 record is a safe bet. A 10-6 record for this year's Dolphins would be a great job, and anything above that would be fantastic for this group.

The Dolphins are 1 year removed from being one of the top 3 AFC teams. So this year, 9-7.

It's not often that I agree with JTex about the Dolphins, but I think he's right on.  I think 10 - 6 is a safe bet. 

You might ask - if the fish were 9 - 7 last year, and we have made some key improvements, why wouldn't the improvement be more than 1 game?  First, I don't think we were as good as our record last year.  It's my opinion, so don't feel the need to correct me.  Second, while we improved at some positions, we have lost other key players (Ricky and Madison) and I think there are some big question marks.  How will this team gel?  How will Ronnie do if he has to carry the full load?  How will Dante come back after the injury? 

Right now (before the draft, before a final decision on Ricky's appeal, before we know when Dante will play) I think 10 - 6 would be a great record.